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The pace is expected to slow further to around 6.2 percent this year. Some analysts’ in-house models suggesting activity is already much weaker than official data suggests. (For a related graphic click tmsnrt.rs/2SVUUFp). Darkening the picture further, hopes are dimming once again that China will be able to reach a trade deal with the United States in current negotiations. U.S. tariffs have increasingly weighed on Chinese exports in recent months, disrupting its supply chains and dragging down business and consumer confidence.
BEIJING (Reuters) - China’s overseas investment rose only marginally in 2018 as the yuan weakened and regulators cracked down on deals that were suspected to be skirting controls on moving money out of the country, China’s non-financial outbound direct investment (ODI) in 2018 rose 0.3 percent from a year earlier to $120.5 billion, the Ministry of Commerce said on Wednesday, In a statement on its website, the ministry said 14k gold black onyx cufflinks there were no new overseas investment projects in real estate, entertainment and sports sectors last year, It also said “irrational” outbound investment has been effectively curbed..
A key exception was investment in countries involved in China’s Belt and Road initiative, an extensive infrastructure plan meant to link Asia with the Middle East and Europe. That totaled $15.64 billion in 2018, up 8.9 percent from a year earlier. Belt and Road deals accounted for 13 percent of total investments in 2018, up 1 percentage point from a year earlier. The yuan fell more than 5 percent against the dollar last year — its fourth annual loss in five — as U.S. tariffs added pressure on the slowing Chinese economy, reviving worries about capital outflows.
The ministry said China will strengthen policy guidance and prevent risks in outbound investment in 2019, without giving details, Investment by Chinese firms was once a significant driver of global asset prices from property to mergers and acquisitions, But it has fallen sharply since Beijing tightened capital controls in 2016, 14k gold black onyx cufflinks prompting a sell-off in assets by acquisitive Chinese conglomerates from HNA to Wanda, In 2017, China posted its first decline in outbound investment since it began publishing the data in 2003..
TOKYO (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan is expected to cut its inflation forecasts at next week’s rate review, sources say, a sign slumping oil prices and a darkening global economic outlook are heightening challenges for hitting its ambitious 2 percent target. But the BoJ is likely to maintain its upbeat assessment that Japan’s economy will keep expanding moderately as global growth is expected to emerge from a soft patch later this year, the sources familiar with the central bank’s thinking, told Reuters.
“Oil prices have fallen significantly since the BOJ’s previous projections in October and that will affect its upcoming forecasts,” one of the sources said, “But the underlying trend inflation remains solid,” the source added, a view echoed by three more sources, The central bank is widely expected to keep monetary settings unchanged at its two-day rate review ending on Jan, 23, maintaining a pledge to guide short-term interest rates at minus 0.1 percent and long-term bond yields around zero 14k gold black onyx cufflinks percent..
It will also issue a quarterly report analyzing Japan’s economy that will include fresh growth and inflation forecasts through the fiscal year ending in March 2021. Under the current forecasts made in October, the BOJ expects core consumer inflation to hit 1.4 percent in the fiscal year beginning in April and 1.5 percent the following year. The BoJ’s nine-member board is expected to slightly trim these forecasts to reflect recent declines in oil prices and the potential fallout from slowing global growth, the sources said.
The inflation forecast for fiscal 2019 may be cut to around 1 percent, the sources said, still above a 0.7 percent projection made 14k gold black onyx cufflinks by analysts polled by Reuters, The BoJ is likely to roughly maintain their economic growth projections, as lower energy costs and government spending to mitigate the impact of a scheduled sales tax hike in October offset some of the pain from external headwinds, they said, “Overseas risks are heightening, But they are not huge enough to undermine the BOJ’s forecast of a moderate economic expansion,” one of the sources said..