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“In Atlanta today, you have (Fed Chair) Jerome Powell on stage with his two predecessors, Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen. People are looking for the Fed to stay on hold as they watch for a global growth slowdown. We’ll see how the trade negotiations with China go on Monday.”. “All things being equal, the job report is probably negative for stocks. What you see (in stock futures) is people not focused on the jobs number. They’re much more interested in what happens with the trade negotiations on Monday. The Fed is important, but the jobs number is secondary to what will happen on Monday. So stocks are going to reflect optimism on what may happen with trade negotiations rather than concern that the Fed will move too quickly.”.
RANDY FREDERICK, VICE PRESIDENT OF TRADING AND DERIVATIVES, CHARLES SCHWAB, AUSTIN, TEXAS, “It’s just a fascinating gold diamond cufflinks report, I think in many ways, because there were some mixed results, The market doesn’t really know how to take it.”, “The nonfarm payroll number was a blockbuster number if you look at what you were seeing recently, I was a little surprised when the ADP number came out midweek, how high it was, and this was even bigger.”, “It also was a bit of a surprise, given how high that number was, that we saw a two-tenths uptick in the unemployment rate, which takes us back to where we were in August.”..
“Those two things are conflicting to some extent. But overall you would say it’s a pretty good report.”. PAUL ASHWORTH, CHIEF U.S. ECONOMIST, CAPITAL ECONOMICS, TORONTO. “The far bigger-than-expected 312,000 jump in non-farm payrolls in December would seem to make a mockery of market fears of an impending recession.”. “Admittedly, employment is a coincident indicator, whereas the ISM manufacturing index, which we learned yesterday fell sharply in December, is a leading indicator. But, even allowing for that distinction, this employment report suggests the U.S. economy still has considerable forward momentum. Overall, the markets may have decided the Fed’s work is done, but the economic data say otherwise.”.
MICHAEL JAMES, MANAGING DIRECTOR, EQUITY TRADING, WEDBUSH SECURITIES, LOS ANGELES, “It’s going to be an interesting day to say the least, Given the weakness yesterday caused by Apple and gold diamond cufflinks a pretty underwhelming ISM report and that contributed to the concerns about global growth softening, And it would seem to be a more positive view of growth from the jobs report this morning.”, “You had disappointment from Fedex a couple of weeks ago, Apple, last night, ISM report indicated softness, That would be somewhat counteracted today by the stronger jobs report, We’ll see if the early strength in the market holds, given this will likely give more reason for the Fed raising not cutting rates as some had speculated during the day yesterday.”..
“This only continues a cloudy picture in terms of global growth strengthening versus softening.”. “It’s very hard right now for investors to have a clear picture of where the United States and global economies stand in terms of growth, whether it is maintaining or softening. Today’s data point would indicate more of a stronger backdrop.”. “As you continue to get these cross currents, it’s only going to increase the uncertainty among investors and create excessive volatility.”.
GEORGE GONCALVES, HEAD OF U.S, RATES STRATEGY, NOMURA, NEW YORK, “This is a welcome development because it’s not a miss, This should help pause some of the negative sentiment gold diamond cufflinks out there, But this is only one number, We have (Jerome) Powell coming up that should be more important than one piece of data.”, TOM PORCELLI, CHIEF U.S, ECONOMIST, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, NEW YORK, “It was an incredibly good number, you have an incredibly good number and you have a pretty hawkish Fed official telling you that she’s inclined to pause, It doesn’t add up.”..
“The Fed is literally taking its cues from the equity market and not from the economic backdrop. That’s not a dynamic that I think any of us should actually want. You have an economy that continues to chug along at a really solid pace. The all-important consumer sector, the lifeblood of the labor backdrop, is incredibly strong and so it’s really easy to build a case that economic activity continues to move along with a decent amount of momentum here.”. “I don’t think any of this matters, the market’s hyperfocused on negatives. It was a really good number. there’s nothing not to like. The unemployment rate rose, but the unemployment rate rose because participation was up, in other words there was a massive flow of people into the labor market. That’s usually a sign of health.”.
GENNADIY GOLDBERG, INTEREST RATES STRATEGIST, TD SECURITIES, NEW YORK, “I think there are certainly still a few questions in the market’s mind as to what’s moving risk sentiment.”, “I don’t think this very strong report is the end-all for market pricing, Markets are still watching trade negotiations, shut-down negotiations, to some extent the equity market itself.”, “It is certainly a piece of good news in a very turbulent time, You’ve got a pretty positive reaction to the number, we’ve retraced a good chunk of the rally in Treasuries that we saw yesterday, I don’t think the move to higher yields will be a straight gold diamond cufflinks line from here.”..