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WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Midwestern states hit hardest by job automation in recent decades, places that were pivotal to U.S. President Donald Trump’s election, will be under the most pressure again as advances in artificial intelligence reshape the workplace, according to a new study by Brookings Institution researchers. The spread of computer-driven technology into middle-wage jobs like trucking, construction, and office work, and some lower-skilled occupations like food preparation and service, will also further divide the fast-growing cities where skilled workers are moving and other areas, and separate the high- skilled workers whose jobs are less prone to automation from everyone else regardless of location, the study found.
But the pain may be most intense in a familiar group of manufacturing-heavy states like how to sell cufflinks Wisconsin, Ohio and Iowa, whose support swung the U.S, electoral college for Trump, a Republican, and which have among the largest share of jobs, around 27 percent, at “high risk” of further automation in coming years, At the other end, solidly Democratic coastal states like New York and Maryland had only about a fifth of jobs in the high-risk category, The findings suggest the economic tensions that framed Trump’s election may well persist, and may even be immune to his efforts to shift global trade policy in favor of U.S, manufacturers..
“The first era of digital automation was one of traumatic change..with employment and wage gains coming only at the high and low ends,” authors including Brookings Metro Policy Program director Mark Muro wrote of the spread of computer technology and robotics that began in the 1980s. “That our forward-looking analysis projects more of the same..will not, therefore, be comforting.”. The study used prior research from the McKinsey Global Institute that looked at tasks performed in 800 occupations, and the proportion that could be automated by 2030 using current technology.
While some already-automated industries like manufacturing will continue needing less labor for a given level of output - the “automation potential” of production jobs remains nearly 80 percent - the spread of advanced techniques means more jobs will come under pressure as autonomous vehicles supplant drivers, and smart technology changes how waiters, carpenters and how to sell cufflinks others do their jobs, That would raise productivity - a net plus for the economy overall that could keep goods cheaper, raise demand, and thus help create more jobs even if the nature of those jobs changes..
NEW DELHI/NEW YORK (Reuters) - The United States government is concerned about India’s revised e-commerce regulations and has told officials in New Delhi the policy will hinder the Indian investment plans of Amazon.com and Walmart Inc, three sources familiar with the talks told Reuters. The tussle marks the latest in a number of U.S. protests over Indian government policies which impact American companies and comes at a time when the two countries are trying to iron out other trade irritants. In 2017, the U.S. lodged a written protest against India’s decision to cap medical device prices, which upset American companies.
India’s e-commerce investment rules, which kick in from Feb, 1, ban companies from selling products via firms in which they have an equity interest and also bar them from making deals with sellers to sell exclusively on their platforms, The policy has dealt a blow to Walmart, which just last year invested $16 billion in buying 77 percent of India’s Flipkart, and Amazon, as it would force them to change their business structures in how to sell cufflinks the country and raise their operational costs, “There is a very strong undercurrent as to how this should be made a bilateral issue,” said a Washington-based industry source aware of the companies’ thinking..
“This has gone way beyond being a local (India) tussle.”. A U.S. government official earlier this month told Indian officials to protect Walmart and Flipkart’s investments in the country, an Indian trade ministry official told Reuters. The U.S. government cited “good relations” between the two countries and stressed that American companies should be given concessions in the larger interest of bilateral trade, but India gave a “non-committal” response, the source added.
But Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is unlikely to delay the revised rules or amend them in any meaningful way as he is seeking the support of the tens of millions of small retailers and traders in India ahead of a general election that must be held by May, The small firms see Walmart and Amazon as a threat to their businesses, An Indian industry source said Walmart, Amazon and lobbying groups were coordinating efforts with the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) and the how to sell cufflinks local embassy to express their discontent about the policy..