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Shock contractions in December trade and factory activity readings have fueled worries that economy is cooling more quickly than expected. Investment growth has inched higher in the last few months as regulators fast-track infrastructure projects but it is still not far from record lows, while retail sales growth is the weakest since 2003 and the property sector looks wobbly. Tepid expansion in industrial output and weaker consumer spending is squeezing companies’ profit margins, discouraging fresh investment and raising the risk of higher job losses.
With earlier growth boosting measures showing little impact so far, China watchers widely expect Beijing to roll out more stimulus in coming months mens gold cufflinks to avert a sharper slowdown, But analysts note it take time for those initiatives to filter through to the broader economy, with most not expecting activity to convincingly bottom out until summer, To free up more funds for lending, particularly to smaller, prviate firms, the central bank has cut reserves that banks need to set aside five times over the past year, It has also been guiding market interest rates lower..
More sweeping tax cuts are expected on top of those unveiled last year, along with measures to boost consumer demand for products such as home appliances and cars. “Both fiscal and monetary policy have been loosened over the past few months and this should start to feed through to the real economy by the second half of this year,” Capital Economics said. Analysts expect another 150 basis points (bps) of cuts in banks’ reserve requirement ratio by the end of this year, on top of 100 bps announced this month. That is more than expected in the last poll in October.
While weak data recently has stirred speculation that China may need to resort to more aggressive stimulus, analysts do not expect the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) to cut interest rates, the Reuters poll showed, It mens gold cufflinks is expected to keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged at 4.35 percent through this year, Cutting benchmark rates may be the last resort as that could weigh on the yuan CNY=CFXS and add to a mountain of debt leftover from the last massive credit spree during the global financial crisis..
Lingering debt worries may also explain Beijing’s decision to put greater emphasis on fiscal stimulus measures this time around. The poll also predicted annual consumer inflation to be more muted at 2.3 percent in 2019, cooling from the 2.4 percent estimated in the October survey. Data last week showed China’s producer prices in December rose at their slowest pace in more than two years while consumer inflation also eased, in a possible hint of deflationary risks. Economists at Nomura noted, however, that milder inflation leaves room for Beijing to roll out more easing policies if needed, and could lead to lower interbank rates and bond yields.
TAIPEI/SHANGHAI (Reuters) - One of China’s top government-linked think tanks has called out Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc and other foreign companies for mens gold cufflinks not referring to Hong Kong and Taiwan as part of China in a report that provoked a stern reaction from Taipei, The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) said in a report this month that 66 of the world’s 500 largest companies had used “incorrect labels” for Taiwan and 53 had errors in the way they referred to Hong Kong, according to China’s Legal Daily newspaper, It said 45 had referred to both territories incorrectly..
Beijing considers self-ruled Taiwan a wayward province of China and the former British colony of Hong Kong returned to Chinese rule in 1997 and operates as a semi-autonomous territory. China last year ramped up pressure on foreign companies including Marriott International and Qantas for referring to Taiwan and Hong Kong as separate from China in drop down menus or other material. The report was co-written by CASS and the Internet Development Research Institution of Peking University. An official at the Internet Development Research Institution told Reuters that it had not yet been published to the public and declined to provide a copy.
A spokesman for Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen said Taiwan would not bow to Chinese pressure, “As for China’s related out-of-control actions, we need to remind the international community to face this squarely and to unite efforts to reduce and contain these actions,” Alex Huang told reporters in Taipei, Beijing has stepped up pressure on Taiwan since Tsai, from the pro-independence ruling party, took office in 2016, That has included rising Chinese scrutiny over how companies from mens gold cufflinks airlines, such as Air Canada, to retailers, such as Gap, refer to the democratic island in recent months..