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“Overall, this is something the market wanted to see, is pleased with. I don’t think it takes us away on longer-term inflation goals at this point. “I am sure there will be some political commentators that will be looking to read this as Powell giving in to Trump and his demands that the Fed do more, but I don’t think that is accurate at this point. “I think inflationary pressures are a little bit more muted, in particular with what we have seen happening with oil prices. I think this is a just right kind of an announcement.
LARRY HATHEWAY, CHIEF ECONOMIST, GAM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, ZURICH, “The Fed has moderated their assessment of economic activity, dropping the language of strong to a solid expansion, It’s a modest downgrade, personalized cufflinks but overall they are certainly keeping their options open, They’re trying to convey the message while they have paused, their options are open and more likely than not, they’ll probably hike rates this year rather than keep them on hold, It’s more probable they’ll hike two rather than one this year.”..
CHAD OVIATT, DIRECTOR OF INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, HUNTINGTON NATIONAL BANK, COLUMBUS, OHIO. “Some of the language changes are interesting. It’s increasing the amount of flexibility that the Fed is giving itself for the rest of the year..That seems reasonable given what’s going on from a global perspective..I think (stocks) are rallying because it was a little more dovish than I think consensus was expecting.”. JOHN CANAVAN, MARKET STRATEGIST, STONE & MCCARTHY RESEARCH ASSOCIATES, NEW YORK.
“Generally, the Fed statement and the comments about the balance sheet are viewed as a dovish combination, The front end of the Treasury yield curve is rallying and the back end is selling off, Some dovishness has been priced in so it’s difficult to be more personalized cufflinks dovish, The balance sheet comments is the Fed acknowledging that the balance sheet drawdown is having more of a market impact than they had thought, Now they are ready to make some adjustments, We will probably get more clarity from Powell’s press conference about balance sheet changes, The economic growth here will still be strong for a couple of rate hikes this year, but unlikely in the first quarter.”..
SCOTT MINERD, GLOBAL CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, GUGGENHEIM PARTNERS, SANTA MONICA, CALIFORNIA (by email). “Fed makes it clear that any rate changes are on hold until further notice. Monetary Policy remains highly accommodative with Fed shifting to ‘dovish’ tone. The pause confirms our view that this will further extend the expansion, allowing excesses to continue to build and increasing risks of financial instability. Fed refilled the punch bowl and the party goes on. Buy risk assets.”.
JASON WARE, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, ALBION FINANCIAL GROUP, SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH, “What the statement suggests in terms of removing specific language - like further gradual rate hikes was taken out - they seem to be, for lack of a better term, capitulating to the market at this point ., we are paying attention to the personalized cufflinks volatility, we are paying attention the downside risks more than the upside risks, And the upside risks as far as Jay Powell is concerned are economic growth and higher inflation, That seems to be a lower priority on the committee’s mind and they are now a little bit more willing to be a little more ‘patient’ and data dependent, which is what the market wants to hear, So here we go, yields down, stocks up.”..
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Wednesday, as U.S. government data that showed signs of tightening supply and investors remained concerned about supply disruptions following U.S. sanctions on Venezuela’s oil industry. U.S. crude futures rose 92 cents to settle at $54.23 a barrel, a 1.73 percent gain. Brent crude futures gained 33 cents, or 0.54 percent, to $61.65 a barrel. Prices extended gains after government data showed U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose less than expected last week due to a drop in imports, while gasoline inventories fell from record highs as refiners slowed production.
Crude inventories rose by 919,000 barrels, the Energy Information Administration said, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for an increase of 3.2 million barrels, After eight straight weeks of builds to a record high, gasoline stocks fell 2.2 million barrels last week, versus forecasts for a 1.9 million-barrel gain, “The report looked supportive on several fronts with the most obvious being a smaller-than-expected crude build of less than 1 million barrels,” Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates, said in a note, “While the slight increase personalized cufflinks may not appear monumental, we will reiterate that the build compared with 5-year average increases of about 7.5 million barrels.”..